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Topics - ThreatWebInternal
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13741
« on: September 15, 2024, 02:32:39 PM »
LOUISVILLE KY Sep 13 Climate Report: High: 77 Low: 67 Precip: 1.36" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"185
CDUS43 KLMK 132031
CLISDF
CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
431 PM EDT FRI SEP 13 2024
...................................
...THE LOUISVILLE KY CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR SEPTEMBER 13 2024...
VALID TODAY AS OF 0425 PM LOCAL TIME.
CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1871 TO 2024
WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST
VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR
NORMAL
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)
TODAY
MAXIMUM 77 259 PM 97 1939 83 -6 81
2019
MINIMUM 67 941 AM 42 1975 63 4 59
AVERAGE 72 73 -1 70
PRECIPITATION (IN)
TODAY 1.36 3.85 1979 0.14 1.22 0.00
MONTH TO DATE 1.44 1.46 -0.02 0.24
SINCE SEP 1 1.44 1.46 -0.02 0.24
SINCE JAN 1 31.59 34.87 -3.28 34.44
SNOWFALL (IN)
TODAY 0.0 MM MM 0.0 0.0 0.0
MONTH TO DATE 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SINCE SEP 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SINCE JUL 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW DEPTH 0
DEGREE DAYS
HEATING
TODAY 0 0 0 0
MONTH TO DATE 3 0 3 0
SINCE SEP 1 3 0 3 0
SINCE JUL 1 3 0 3 0
COOLING
TODAY 7 8 -1 5
MONTH TO DATE 124 132 -8 148
SINCE SEP 1 124 132 -8 148
SINCE JAN 1 1819 1586 233 1513
...................................................................
WIND (MPH)
HIGHEST WIND SPEED 17 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION SE (120)
HIGHEST GUST SPEED 24 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION SE (130)
AVERAGE WIND SPEED 8.3
SKY COVER
POSSIBLE SUNSHINE MM
AVERAGE SKY COVER 1.0
WEATHER CONDITIONS
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED TODAY.
HEAVY RAIN
RAIN
LIGHT RAIN
FOG
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
HIGHEST 90 600 AM
LOWEST 50 1200 AM
AVERAGE 70
..........................................................
THE LOUISVILLE KY CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW
NORMAL RECORD YEAR
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 83 100 1897
MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 63 40 1902
SUNRISE AND SUNSET
SEPTEMBER 13 2024.....SUNRISE 723 AM EDT SUNSET 753 PM EDT
SEPTEMBER 14 2024.....SUNRISE 724 AM EDT SUNSET 752 PM EDT
- INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.
$$
BJS
Source: LOUISVILLE KY Sep 13 Climate Report: High: 77 Low: 67 Precip: 1.36" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
13743
« on: September 15, 2024, 02:32:37 PM »
CINCINNATI OH Sep 10 Climate Report: High: 86 Low: 50 Precip: 0.0" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"497
CDUS41 KILN 110536
CLICVG
CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
136 AM EDT WED SEP 11 2024
...................................
...THE CINCINNATI OH CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR SEPTEMBER 10 2024...
CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD: 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD: 1869 TO 2024
WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST
VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR
NORMAL
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)
YESTERDAY
MAXIMUM 86 4:27 PM 98 1964 81 5 81
MINIMUM 50 5:17 AM 42 1924 59 -9 59
AVERAGE 68 70 -2 70
PRECIPITATION (IN)
YESTERDAY 0.00 1.34 1911 0.10 -0.10 0.00
MONTH TO DATE 0.07 0.99 -0.92 T
SINCE SEP 1 0.07 0.99 -0.92 T
SINCE JAN 1 28.74 32.83 -4.09 31.31
SNOWFALL (IN)
YESTERDAY 0.0 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
MONTH TO DATE 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SINCE SEP 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SINCE JUL 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 T
SNOW DEPTH 0
DEGREE DAYS
HEATING
YESTERDAY 0 1 -1 0
MONTH TO DATE 11 4 7 0
SINCE SEP 1 11 4 7 0
SINCE JUL 1 11 7 4 0
COOLING
YESTERDAY 3 6 -3 5
MONTH TO DATE 60 70 -10 100
SINCE SEP 1 60 70 -10 100
SINCE JAN 1 1257 1061 196 1000
...................................................................
WIND (MPH)
RESULTANT WIND SPEED 1 RESULTANT WIND DIRECTION SE (120)
HIGHEST WIND SPEED 12 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION SE (130)
HIGHEST GUST SPEED 14 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION SE (130)
AVERAGE WIND SPEED 2.3
SKY COVER
POSSIBLE SUNSHINE MM
AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.0
WEATHER CONDITIONS
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY.
NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
HIGHEST 77 7:00 AM
LOWEST 25 5:00 PM
AVERAGE 51
..........................................................
THE CINCINNATI OH CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY
NORMAL RECORD YEAR
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 81 96 1933
MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 59 40 1917
1993
SUNRISE AND SUNSET
SEPTEMBER 11 2024.....SUNRISE 7:17 AM EDT SUNSET 7:52 PM EDT
SEPTEMBER 12 2024.....SUNRISE 7:18 AM EDT SUNSET 7:51 PM EDT
- INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.
$$
Source: CINCINNATI OH Sep 10 Climate Report: High: 86 Low: 50 Precip: 0.0" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
13744
« on: September 15, 2024, 02:32:36 PM »
Canadian Army says new military sleeping bags not suitable for 'typical Canadian winter' Canadian Army recommended troops heading to Alaskan military exercise earlier this year be issued 1960s vintage sleeping bags after soldiers complain that their new bedrolls, which cost taxpayers $34.8 million, were not suitable for "for typical Canadian winter conditions." Source: Canadian Army says new military sleeping bags not suitable for 'typical Canadian winter'----------------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
13745
« on: September 15, 2024, 02:32:36 PM »
BOSTON MA Sep 8 Climate Report: High: 71 Low: 57 Precip: 0.0" Snow: 0.0"521
CDUS41 KBOX 090625
CLIBOS
CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOSTON/NORTON MA
225 AM EDT MON SEP 09 2024
...................................
...THE BOSTON MA CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR SEPTEMBER 8 2024...
CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1872 TO 2024
WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST
VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR
NORMAL
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)
YESTERDAY
MAXIMUM 71 339 PM 96 2015 76 -5 88
MINIMUM 57 1159 PM 48 1903 61 -4 71
1978
AVERAGE 64 68 -4 80
PRECIPITATION (IN)
YESTERDAY 0.00 1.65 2004 0.10 -0.10 0.00
MONTH TO DATE 0.00 0.84 -0.84 0.01
SINCE SEP 1 T 0.84 -0.84 0.01
SINCE JAN 1 34.14 28.88 5.26 36.57
SNOWFALL (IN)
YESTERDAY 0.0 0.0 2000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2001
2002
MONTH TO DATE 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SINCE SEP 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SINCE JUL 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
DEGREE DAYS
HEATING
YESTERDAY 1 1 0 0
MONTH TO DATE 1 6 -5 1
SINCE SEP 1 1 6 -5 1
SINCE JUL 1 3 15 -12 1
COOLING
YESTERDAY 0 4 -4 15
MONTH TO DATE 25 40 -15 84
SINCE SEP 1 25 40 -15 84
SINCE JAN 1 835 740 95 782
...................................................................
WIND (MPH)
RESULTANT WIND SPEED 12 RESULTANT WIND DIRECTION W (270)
HIGHEST WIND SPEED 23 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION W (280)
HIGHEST GUST SPEED 32 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION W (290)
AVERAGE WIND SPEED 13.1
SKY COVER
POSSIBLE SUNSHINE MM
AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.3
WEATHER CONDITIONS
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY.
NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
HIGHEST 78 200 AM
LOWEST 34 400 PM
AVERAGE 56
..........................................................
THE BOSTON MA CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY
NORMAL RECORD YEAR
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 76 93 2015
2016
MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 61 45 1938
SUNRISE AND SUNSET
SEPTEMBER 9 2024.....SUNRISE 618 AM EDT SUNSET 703 PM EDT
SEPTEMBER 10 2024.....SUNRISE 619 AM EDT SUNSET 702 PM EDT
- INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.
$$
Source: BOSTON MA Sep 8 Climate Report: High: 71 Low: 57 Precip: 0.0" Snow: 0.0"---------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
13746
« on: September 15, 2024, 08:16:20 AM »
LIX cancels Tropical Storm Warning for Southern Livingston [LA][html] 196
WTUS84 KLIX 121207
TCVLIX
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Francine Local Watch/Warning Statement/Intermediate Advisory Number 15A
National Weather Service New Orleans LA AL062024
707 AM CDT Thu Sep 12 2024
LAZ059-121315-
/O.CAN.KLIX.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Upper Lafourche-
707 AM CDT Thu Sep 12 2024
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...
* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Thibodaux
- Raceland
- Larose
* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 10-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39
to 57 mph
- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm
force.
- PREPARE: Last minute efforts to protect property should now
be complete. The area remains subject to limited wind
damage.
- ACT: Now is the time to shelter from hazardous wind.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main wind event are unfolding.
* STORM SURGE
- No storm surge inundation forecast
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little to no storm
surge flooding
- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: There is little to no threat of storm surge flooding.
Rough surf, coastal erosion, and life-threatening rip
currents are possible.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations for storm surge flooding
are needed.
- ACT: Follow the instructions of local officials. Monitor
forecasts.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from storm surge flooding.
* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: No additional significant rainfall
forecast
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little or no
potential for flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
the previous assessment.
- PLAN: There is little or no potential for flooding rain.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations are needed to protect
against flooding rain at this time.
- ACT: Monitor for changes to the forecast.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from flooding rain.
* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is unfavorable for tornadoes
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Tornadoes not expected
- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Tornadoes are not expected. Showers and thunderstorms
with gusty winds may still occur.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations needed to protect
against tornadoes at this time. Keep informed of the latest
tornado situation.
- ACT: Listen for changes in the forecast.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from tornadoes.
* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- https://gohsep.la.gov/emergency
$$
LAZ068-121315-
/O.CAN.KLIX.SS.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CAN.KLIX.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Coastal Jefferson Parish-
707 AM CDT Thu Sep 12 2024
...STORM SURGE WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...
* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Grand Isle
* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 20-30 mph with gusts to 40 mph
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39
to 57 mph
- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm
force.
- PREPARE: Last minute efforts to protect property should now
be complete. The area remains subject to limited wind
damage.
- ACT: Now is the time to shelter from hazardous wind.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main wind event are unfolding.
* STORM SURGE
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Localized storm surge possible
- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 1-3 feet
above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
- Window of concern: Begins this afternoon
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm
surge flooding greater than 1 foot above ground
- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Shelter against storm surge flooding greater than 1
foot above ground.
- PREPARE: All flood preparations should be complete. Expect
flooding of low-lying roads and property.
- ACT: Stay away from storm surge prone areas. Continue to
follow the instructions of local officials.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main surge event are unfolding.
* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: No additional significant rainfall
forecast
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little or no
potential for flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
the previous assessment.
- PLAN: There is little or no potential for flooding rain.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations are needed to protect
against flooding rain at this time.
- ACT: Monitor for changes to the forecast.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from flooding rain.
* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is unfavorable for tornadoes
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Tornadoes not expected
- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Tornadoes are not expected. Showers and thunderstorms
with gusty winds may still occur.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations needed to protect
against tornadoes at this time. Keep informed of the latest
tornado situation.
- ACT: Listen for changes in the forecast.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from tornadoes.
* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- https://gohsep.la.gov/emergency
$$
LAZ088-121315-
/O.CAN.KLIX.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Lower Jefferson-
707 AM CDT Thu Sep 12 2024
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...
* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Lafitte
- Barataria
- Jean Lafitte
* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 15-25 mph with gusts to 35 mph
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39
to 57 mph
- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm
force.
- PREPARE: Last minute efforts to protect property should now
be complete. The area remains subject to limited wind
damage.
- ACT: Now is the time to shelter from hazardous wind.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main wind event are unfolding.
* STORM SURGE
- No storm surge inundation forecast
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little to no storm
surge flooding
- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: There is little to no threat of storm surge flooding.
Rough surf, coastal erosion, and life-threatening rip
currents are possible.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations for storm surge flooding
are needed.
- ACT: Follow the instructions of local officials. Monitor
forecasts.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from storm surge flooding.
* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: No additional significant rainfall
forecast
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little or no
potential for flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
the previous assessment.
- PLAN: There is little or no potential for flooding rain.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations are needed to protect
against flooding rain at this time.
- ACT: Monitor for changes to the forecast.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from flooding rain.
* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is unfavorable for tornadoes
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Tornadoes not expected
- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Tornadoes are not expected. Showers and thunderstorms
with gusty winds may still occur.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations needed to protect
against tornadoes at this time. Keep informed of the latest
tornado situation.
- ACT: Listen for changes in the forecast.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from tornadoes.
* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- https://gohsep.la.gov/emergency
$$
LAZ069-121315-
/O.CAN.KLIX.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CAN.KLIX.SS.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Lower Plaquemines-
707 AM CDT Thu Sep 12 2024
...STORM SURGE WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...
* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Port Sulphur
- Empire
- Venice
* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 15-25 mph with gusts to 35 mph
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39
to 57 mph
- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm
force.
- PREPARE: Last minute efforts to protect property should now
be complete. The area remains subject to limited wind
damage.
- ACT: Now is the time to shelter from hazardous wind.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main wind event are unfolding.
* STORM SURGE
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible
- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 2-4 feet
above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
- Window of concern: Begins this afternoon
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm
surge flooding greater than 3 feet above ground
- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Shelter against life-threatening storm surge of
greater than 3 feet above ground.
- PREPARE: Flood preparations and ordered evacuations should
be complete. Evacuees should be in shelters well away from
storm surge flooding.
- ACT: Remain sheltered in a safe location. Do not venture
outside.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main surge event are unfolding.
* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: No additional significant rainfall
forecast
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little or no
potential for flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
the previous assessment.
- PLAN: There is little or no potential for flooding rain.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations are needed to protect
against flooding rain at this time.
- ACT: Monitor for changes to the forecast.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from flooding rain.
* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is unfavorable for tornadoes
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Tornadoes not expected
- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Tornadoes are not expected. Showers and thunderstorms
with gusty winds may still occur.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations needed to protect
against tornadoes at this time. Keep informed of the latest
tornado situation.
- ACT: Listen for changes in the forecast.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from tornadoes.
* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- https://gohsep.la.gov/emergency
$$
LAZ090-121315-
/O.CAN.KLIX.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Central Plaquemines-
707 AM CDT Thu Sep 12 2024
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...
* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Braithwaite
- Alliance
* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 10-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39
to 57 mph
- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm
force.
- PREPARE: Last minute efforts to protect property should now
be complete. The area remains subject to limited wind
damage.
- ACT: Now is the time to shelter from hazardous wind.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main wind event are unfolding.
* STORM SURGE
- No storm surge inundation forecast
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little to no storm
surge flooding
- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: There is little to no threat of storm surge flooding.
Rough surf, coastal erosion, and life-threatening rip
currents are possible.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations for storm surge flooding
are needed.
- ACT: Follow the instructions of local officials. Monitor
forecasts.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from storm surge flooding.
* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: No additional significant rainfall
forecast
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little or no
potential for flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
the previous assessment.
- PLAN: There is little or no potential for flooding rain.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations are needed to protect
against flooding rain at this time.
- ACT: Monitor for changes to the forecast.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from flooding rain.
* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is unfavorable for tornadoes
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Tornadoes not expected
- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Tornadoes are not expected. Showers and thunderstorms
with gusty winds may still occur.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations needed to protect
against tornadoes at this time. Keep informed of the latest
tornado situation.
- ACT: Listen for changes in the forecast.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from tornadoes.
* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- https://gohsep.la.gov/emergency
$$
LAZ089-121315-
/O.CAN.KLIX.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Upper Plaquemines-
707 AM CDT Thu Sep 12 2024
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...
* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Belle Chasse
* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 10-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39
to 57 mph
- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm
force.
- PREPARE: Last minute efforts to protect property should now
be complete. The area remains subject to limited wind
damage.
- ACT: Now is the time to shelter from hazardous wind.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main wind event are unfolding.
* STORM SURGE
- No storm surge inundation forecast
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little to no storm
surge flooding
- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: There is little to no threat of storm surge flooding.
Rough surf, coastal erosion, and life-threatening rip
currents are possible.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations for storm surge flooding
are needed.
- ACT: Follow the instructions of local officials. Monitor
forecasts.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from storm surge flooding.
* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: No additional significant rainfall
forecast
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little or no
potential for flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
the previous assessment.
- PLAN: There is little or no potential for flooding rain.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations are needed to protect
against flooding rain at this time.
- ACT: Monitor for changes to the forecast.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from flooding rain.
* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is unfavorable for tornadoes
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Tornadoes not expected
- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Tornadoes are not expected. Showers and thunderstorms
with gusty winds may still occur.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations needed to protect
against tornadoes at this time. Keep informed of the latest
tornado situation.
- ACT: Listen for changes in the forecast.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from tornadoes.
* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- https://gohsep.la.gov/emergency
$$
LAZ070-121315-
/O.CAN.KLIX.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CAN.KLIX.SS.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Lower St. Bernard-
707 AM CDT Thu Sep 12 2024
...STORM SURGE WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...
* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Yscloskey
- Delacroix
- Shell Beach
* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 25-35 mph with gusts to 45 mph
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39
to 57 mph
- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm
force.
- PREPARE: Last minute efforts to protect property should now
be complete. The area remains subject to limited wind
damage.
- ACT: Now is the time to shelter from hazardous wind.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main wind event are unfolding.
* STORM SURGE
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible
- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 2-4 feet
above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
- Window of concern: Begins this afternoon
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm
surge flooding greater than 3 feet above ground
- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Shelter against life-threatening storm surge of
greater than 3 feet above ground.
- PREPARE: Flood preparations and ordered evacuations should
be complete. Evacuees should be in shelters well away from
storm surge flooding.
- ACT: Remain sheltered in a safe location. Do not venture
outside.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main surge event are unfolding.
* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: No additional significant rainfall
forecast
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little or no
potential for flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
the previous assessment.
- PLAN: There is little or no potential for flooding rain.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations are needed to protect
against flooding rain at this time.
- ACT: Monitor for changes to the forecast.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from flooding rain.
* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is unfavorable for tornadoes
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Tornadoes not expected
- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Tornadoes are not expected. Showers and thunderstorms
with gusty winds may still occur.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations needed to protect
against tornadoes at this time. Keep informed of the latest
tornado situation.
- ACT: Listen for changes in the forecast.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from tornadoes.
* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- https://gohsep.la.gov/emergency
$$
LAZ064-121315-
/O.CAN.KLIX.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Upper St. Bernard-
707 AM CDT Thu Sep 12 2024
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...
* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Chalmette
- Meraux
- Violet
* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 15-25 mph with gusts to 30 mph
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39
to 57 mph
- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm
force.
- PREPARE: Last minute efforts to protect property should now
be complete. The area remains subject to limited wind
damage.
- ACT: Now is the time to shelter from hazardous wind.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main wind event are unfolding.
* STORM SURGE
- No storm surge inundation forecast
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little to no storm
surge flooding
- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: The threat from storm surge is diminishing as flood
waters recede.
- PREPARE: Heed instructions from local officials when moving
about. Do not enter flooded areas.
- ACT: Exercise safety.
- REALIZED IMPACTS: Being Assessed
- Little to no additional surge impacts expected. Community
officials are now assessing the extent of actual surge
impacts accordingly.
* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: No additional significant rainfall
forecast
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little or no
potential for flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
the previous assessment.
- PLAN: There is little or no potential for flooding rain.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations are needed to protect
against flooding rain at this time.
- ACT: Monitor for changes to the forecast.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from flooding rain.
* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is unfavorable for tornadoes
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Tornadoes not expected
- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Tornadoes are not expected. Showers and thunderstorms
with gusty winds may still occur.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations needed to protect
against tornadoes at this time. Keep informed of the latest
tornado situation.
- ACT: Listen for changes in the forecast.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from tornadoes.
* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- https://gohsep.la.gov/emergency
$$
LAZ078-121315-
/O.CAN.KLIX.SS.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CAN.KLIX.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Eastern Orleans-
707 AM CDT Thu Sep 12 2024
...STORM SURGE WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...
* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Lake Catherine
* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 20-30 mph with gusts to 40 mph
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39
to 57 mph
- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm
force.
- PREPARE: Last minute efforts to protect property should now
be complete. The area remains subject to limited wind
damage.
- ACT: Now is the time to shelter from hazardous wind.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main wind event are unfolding.
* STORM SURGE
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible
- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 3-5 feet
above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
- Window of concern: Begins this afternoon
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm
surge flooding greater than 3 feet above ground
- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Shelter against life-threatening storm surge of
greater than 3 feet above ground.
- PREPARE: Flood preparations and ordered evacuations should
be complete. Evacuees should be in shelters well away from
storm surge flooding.
- ACT: Remain sheltered in a safe location. Do not venture
outside.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main surge event are unfolding.
* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: No additional significant rainfall
forecast
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little or no
potential for flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
the previous assessment.
- PLAN: There is little or no potential for flooding rain.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations are needed to protect
against flooding rain at this time.
- ACT: Monitor for changes to the forecast.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from flooding rain.
* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is unfavorable for tornadoes
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Tornadoes not expected
- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Tornadoes are not expected. Showers and thunderstorms
with gusty winds may still occur.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations needed to protect
against tornadoes at this time. Keep informed of the latest
tornado situation.
- ACT: Listen for changes in the forecast.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from tornadoes.
* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- https://gohsep.la.gov/emergency
$$
LAZ077-121315-
/O.CAN.KLIX.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Western Orleans-
707 AM CDT Thu Sep 12 2024
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...
* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- New Orleans
- Lakefront Airport
* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 15-25 mph with gusts to 35 mph
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39
to 57 mph
- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm
force.
- PREPARE: Last minute efforts to protect property should now
be complete. The area remains subject to limited wind
damage.
- ACT: Now is the time to shelter from hazardous wind.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main wind event are unfolding.
* STORM SURGE
- No storm surge inundation forecast
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little to no storm
surge flooding
- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: The threat from storm surge is diminishing as flood
waters recede.
- PREPARE: Heed instructions from local officials when moving
about. Do not enter flooded areas.
- ACT: Exercise safety.
- REALIZED IMPACTS: Being Assessed
- Little to no additional surge impacts expected. Community
officials are now assessing the extent of actual surge
impacts accordingly.
* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: No additional significant rainfall
forecast
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little or no
potential for flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
the previous assessment.
- PLAN: There is little or no potential for flooding rain.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations are needed to protect
against flooding rain at this time.
- ACT: Monitor for changes to the forecast.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from flooding rain.
* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is unfavorable for tornadoes
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Tornadoes not expected
- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Tornadoes are not expected. Showers and thunderstorms
with gusty winds may still occur.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations needed to protect
against tornadoes at this time. Keep informed of the latest
tornado situation.
- ACT: Listen for changes in the forecast.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from tornadoes.
* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- https://gohsep.la.gov/emergency
$$
LAZ087-121315-
/O.CAN.KLIX.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Upper Jefferson-
707 AM CDT Thu Sep 12 2024
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...
* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Metairie
- Kenner
- Harahan
- Westwego
- Marrero
- Gretna
* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 10-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39
to 57 mph
- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm
force.
- PREPARE: Last minute efforts to protect property should now
be complete. The area remains subject to limited wind
damage.
- ACT: Now is the time to shelter from hazardous wind.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main wind event are unfolding.
* STORM SURGE
- No storm surge inundation forecast
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little to no storm
surge flooding
- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: There is little to no threat of storm surge flooding.
Rough surf, coastal erosion, and life-threatening rip
currents are possible.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations for storm surge flooding
are needed.
- ACT: Follow the instructions of local officials. Monitor
forecasts.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from storm surge flooding
inside the levee system. Flooding of areas outside the
levee system is possible, including in the vicinity of
Laketown, the Bonnabel boat launch and the Bucktown Marina.
Consult local officials for more information.
* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: No additional significant rainfall
forecast
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little or no
potential for flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
the previous assessment.
- PLAN: There is little or no potential for flooding rain.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations are needed to protect
against flooding rain at this time.
- ACT: Monitor for changes to the forecast.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from flooding rain.
* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is unfavorable for tornadoes
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Tornadoes not expected
- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Tornadoes are not expected. Showers and thunderstorms
with gusty winds may still occur.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations needed to protect
against tornadoes at this time. Keep informed of the latest
tornado situation.
- ACT: Listen for changes in the forecast.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from tornadoes.
* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- https://gohsep.la.gov/emergency
$$
LAZ060-122015-
/O.CON.KLIX.SS.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CAN.KLIX.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
St. Charles-
707 AM CDT Thu Sep 12 2024
...STORM SURGE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...
* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Norco
- Des Allemands
- Boutte
* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 15-25 mph with gusts to 35 mph
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39
to 57 mph
- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm
force.
- PREPARE: Last minute efforts to protect property should now
be complete. The area remains subject to limited wind
damage.
- ACT: Now is the time to shelter from hazardous wind.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main wind event are unfolding.
* STORM SURGE
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible
- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 3-5 feet
above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
- Window of concern: Begins this afternoon
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm
surge flooding greater than 3 feet above ground
- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Shelter against life-threatening storm surge of
greater than 3 feet above ground.
- PREPARE: Flood preparations and ordered evacuations should
be complete. Evacuees should be in shelters well away from
storm surge flooding.
- ACT: Remain sheltered in a safe location. Do not venture
outside.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main surge event are unfolding.
* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: No additional significant rainfall
forecast
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little or no
potential for flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
the previous assessment.
- PLAN: There is little or no potential for flooding rain.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations are needed to protect
against flooding rain at this time.
- ACT: Monitor for changes to the forecast.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from flooding rain.
* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is unfavorable for tornadoes
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Tornadoes not expected
- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Tornadoes are not expected. Showers and thunderstorms
with gusty winds may still occur.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations needed to protect
against tornadoes at this time. Keep informed of the latest
tornado situation.
- ACT: Listen for changes in the forecast.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from tornadoes.
* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- https://gohsep.la.gov/emergency
$$
LAZ058-122015-
/O.CON.KLIX.SS.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CAN.KLIX.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
St. John The Baptist-
707 AM CDT Thu Sep 12 2024
...STORM SURGE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...
* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- LaPlace
- Reserve
* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 15-25 mph with gusts to 30 mph
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39
to 57 mph
- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm
force.
- PREPARE: Last minute efforts to protect property should now
be complete. The area remains subject to limited wind
damage.
- ACT: Now is the time to shelter from hazardous wind.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main wind event are unfolding.
* STORM SURGE
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible
- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 3-5 feet
above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
- Window of concern: Begins this afternoon
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm
surge flooding greater than 3 feet above ground
- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Shelter against life-threatening storm surge of
greater than 3 feet above ground.
- PREPARE: Flood preparations and ordered evacuations should
be complete. Evacuees should be in shelters well away from
storm surge flooding.
- ACT: Remain sheltered in a safe location. Do not venture
outside.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main surge event are unfolding.
* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: No additional significant rainfall
forecast
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little or no
potential for flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
the previous assessment.
- PLAN: There is little or no potential for flooding rain.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations are needed to protect
against flooding rain at this time.
&n
13747
« on: September 15, 2024, 08:16:20 AM »
National Hurricane Center issues ADVISORY 7 for TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN129
WTNT32 KNHC 130252
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Seven Advisory Number 7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072024
1100 PM AST Thu Sep 12 2024
...DEPRESSION HOLDING STEADY OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC
OCEAN...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.7N 37.0W
ABOUT 875 MI...1410 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Seven
was located near latitude 18.7 North, longitude 37.0 West. The
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26
km/h), and a west-northwest to west motion at a slower forward speed
is anticipated over the next few days.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some slight strengthening is forecast during the next day or so,
and the depression could become a tropical storm by Friday.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.
$$
Forecaster Bucci
Source: National Hurricane Center issues ADVISORY 7 for TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
13748
« on: September 15, 2024, 08:16:19 AM »
MORGANTOWN WV Sep 11 Climate Report: High: 86 Low: 53 Precip: 0.0" Snow: Missing149
CDUS41 KPBZ 120531
CLIMGW
CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
131 AM EDT THU SEP 12 2024
...................................
...THE MORGANTOWN WV CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR SEPTEMBER 11 2024...
CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1872 TO 2024
WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST
VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR
NORMAL
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)
YESTERDAY
MAXIMUM 86 454 PM 96 1900 79 7 81
MINIMUM 53 628 AM 34 1917 58 -5 62
AVERAGE 70 68 2 72
PRECIPITATION (IN)
YESTERDAY 0.00 1.33 1882 0.10 -0.10 0.00
MONTH TO DATE 0.30 1.21 -0.91 0.35
SINCE SEP 1 0.30 1.21 -0.91 0.35
SINCE JAN 1 35.12 31.64 3.48 26.03
DEGREE DAYS
HEATING
YESTERDAY 0 1 -1 0
MONTH TO DATE 19 8 11 0
SINCE SEP 1 19 8 11 0
SINCE JUL 1 31 13 18 0
COOLING
YESTERDAY 5 4 1 7
MONTH TO DATE 33 59 -26 106
SINCE SEP 1 33 59 -26 106
SINCE JAN 1 1121 858 263 856
...................................................................
WIND (MPH)
HIGHEST WIND SPEED 9 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION S (160)
HIGHEST GUST SPEED 14 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION SE (140)
AVERAGE WIND SPEED 1.9
SKY COVER
POSSIBLE SUNSHINE MM
AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.0
WEATHER CONDITIONS
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY.
NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
HIGHEST 90 600 AM
LOWEST 30 400 PM
AVERAGE 60
..........................................................
THE MORGANTOWN WV CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY
NORMAL RECORD YEAR
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 79 97 1897
MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 57 37 1917
SUNRISE AND SUNSET
SEPTEMBER 12 2024.....SUNRISE 658 AM EDT SUNSET 732 PM EDT
SEPTEMBER 13 2024.....SUNRISE 659 AM EDT SUNSET 731 PM EDT
- INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.
$$
Source: MORGANTOWN WV Sep 11 Climate Report: High: 86 Low: 53 Precip: 0.0" Snow: Missing--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
13749
« on: September 15, 2024, 08:16:19 AM »
ERIE PA Sep 12 Climate Report: High: 81 Low: 62 Precip: 0.0" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"755
CDUS41 KCLE 122116
CLIERI
CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND, OH
516 PM EDT THU SEP 12 2024
...................................
...THE ERIE PA CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR SEPTEMBER 12 2024...
VALID TODAY AS OF 0515 PM LOCAL TIME.
CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1873 TO 2024
WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST
VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR
NORMAL
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)
TODAY
MAXIMUM 81 214 PM 88 1903 75 6 73
1931
MINIMUM 62 627 AM 41 1958 58 4 60
AVERAGE 72 67 5 67
PRECIPITATION (IN)
TODAY 0.00 0.13 -0.13 0.85
MONTH TO DATE 1.13 1.56 -0.43 1.38
SINCE SEP 1 1.13 1.56 -0.43 1.38
SINCE JAN 1 25.36 27.92 -2.56 32.06
SNOWFALL (IN)
TODAY 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
MONTH TO DATE 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SINCE SEP 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SINCE JUL 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW DEPTH 0
DEGREE DAYS
HEATING
TODAY 0 2 -2 0
MONTH TO DATE 17 16 1 1
SINCE SEP 1 17 16 1 1
SINCE JUL 1 23 28 -5 9
COOLING
TODAY 7 3 4 2
MONTH TO DATE 32 51 -19 85
SINCE SEP 1 32 51 -19 85
SINCE JAN 1 803 700 103 546
...................................................................
WIND (MPH)
HIGHEST WIND SPEED 13 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION N (350)
HIGHEST GUST SPEED 17 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION N (340)
SKY COVER
POSSIBLE SUNSHINE MM
AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.0
WEATHER CONDITIONS
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED TODAY.
NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
HIGHEST 80 1200 AM
LOWEST 52 200 PM
AVERAGE 66
..........................................................
THE ERIE PA CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW
NORMAL RECORD YEAR
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 75 92 1887
1931
MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 58 43 1955
1963
1964
SUNRISE AND SUNSET
SEPTEMBER 12 2024.....SUNRISE 658 AM EDT SUNSET 735 PM EDT
SEPTEMBER 13 2024.....SUNRISE 659 AM EDT SUNSET 733 PM EDT
- INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.
$$
Source: ERIE PA Sep 12 Climate Report: High: 81 Low: 62 Precip: 0.0" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
13750
« on: September 15, 2024, 08:16:18 AM »
SOUTH BEND Sep 8 Climate Report: High: 69 Low: 43 Precip: 0.0" Snow: Missing681
CDUS43 KIWX 090030
CLISBN
CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
830 PM EDT SUN SEP 08 2024
...................................
...THE SOUTH BEND CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR SEPTEMBER 8 2024...
VALID TODAY AS OF 0800 PM LOCAL TIME.
CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1893 TO 2024
WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST
VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR
NORMAL
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)
TODAY
MAXIMUM 69 531 PM 99 1933 77 -8 67
MINIMUM 43 233 AM 40 1932 56 -13 57
1951
1986
AVERAGE 56 66 -10 62
PRECIPITATION (IN)
TODAY 0.00 1.40 1992 0.12 -0.12 0.00
MONTH TO DATE T 0.94 -0.94 0.62
SINCE SEP 1 T 0.94 -0.94 0.62
SINCE JAN 1 29.16 27.78 1.38 29.28
DEGREE DAYS
HEATING
TODAY 9 2 7 3
MONTH TO DATE 25 13 12 3
SINCE SEP 1 25 13 12 3
SINCE JUL 1 33 34 -1 6
COOLING
TODAY 0 4 -4 0
MONTH TO DATE 15 32 -17 71
SINCE SEP 1 15 32 -17 71
SINCE JAN 1 829 669 160 749
...................................................................
WIND (MPH)
HIGHEST WIND SPEED 17 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION W (260)
HIGHEST GUST SPEED 27 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION W (290)
AVERAGE WIND SPEED 7.0
SKY COVER
POSSIBLE SUNSHINE MM
AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.1
WEATHER CONDITIONS
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED TODAY.
NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
HIGHEST 93 500 AM
LOWEST 39 200 PM
AVERAGE 66
..........................................................
THE SOUTH BEND CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW
NORMAL RECORD YEAR
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 77 97 1897
MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 56 43 1914
1951
SUNRISE AND SUNSET
SEPTEMBER 8 2024.....SUNRISE 719 AM EDT SUNSET 806 PM EDT
SEPTEMBER 9 2024.....SUNRISE 720 AM EDT SUNSET 804 PM EDT
- INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.
$$
Source: SOUTH BEND Sep 8 Climate Report: High: 69 Low: 43 Precip: 0.0" Snow: Missing--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
13751
« on: September 15, 2024, 08:16:18 AM »
IND issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 11, 9:22 PM EDT256
FXUS63 KIND 120122
AFDIND
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
922 PM EDT Wed Sep 11 2024
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Rainfall from Hurricane Francine likely late Thursday night into
Friday across southern Indiana, northern extent remains uncertain.
- Cooler weather with highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s for the
weekend
- Highs in the 80s next week
&&
.FORECAST UPDATE...
Issued at 922 PM EDT Wed Sep 11 2024
Clear skies continue across central Indiana this evening as the
region remains under the influence of high pressure. Already there
was a wide variance in temperatures after sunset ranging from the
mid 60s to the mid 70s.
Quiet weather continues with dry air across the region. An infusion
of deeper subsidence ahead of the advancing cirrus shield from
Francine has lifted into the Ohio Valley and will aid in maintaining
mostly clear skies for the forecast area overnight. The leading
fringes of cirrus expanding from the south will rise into southern
parts of the Hoosier state late tonight but more expansive high
level cloud cover will hold off until late day Thursday.
Excellent scenario for radiational cooling again tonight with light
easterly flow. Lows will vary from the lower 50s in our normal cool
spots to the lower 60s over south central Indiana.
Zone and grid updates out.
&&
.SHORT TERM (This evening through Thursday)...
Issued at 219 PM EDT Wed Sep 11 2024
Today and Tonight
Quiet are expected to continue through the day, as the surface high
pressure that has dominated the weather pattern for the last few
days continues remain near. Winds will become more consistently out
of the SE with the pressure gradient steepening upon the approach
of Hurricane Francine.
Slightly elevated fire weather conditions are possible this
afternoon as dew points are again expected to drop into the low 40s.
This will combine with afternoon highs in the upper 80s to bring RH
values as low as 15-20 percent, especially across the southwestern
counties where the ongoing drought conditions are leading to lower
afternoon dew points. Fuels will remain moist enough to combine with
the calm winds to limit the overall fire danger, but an increased
threat for smaller fires will be active this afternoon and evening.
HRRR smoke and visible satelitte output shows an elevated layer of
smoke over most of the Midwest. No surface impacts are expected, but
this will continue to create some opaqueness in the cloud cover and
more picturesque sunsets.
Tomorrow...
Much of the same is expected tomorrow as high pressure remains over
the northern Ohio Valley. There will be a few changes however, as
the remnants of TS Francine approach from the south. The
aforementioned high will act to suppress the warm core low's
northward progression, but there still likely be some upper level
spiral bands that reach central Indiana by mid day providing SCT to
BKN cloud decks. By the evening, most of central Indiana will likely
be beneath BKN to OVC cloud decks.
With most of the cloud cover arriving in the mid afternoon and
later, temperature impacts are likely to be minimal. Still, a few
degrees of temperature decrease are expected versus usual for this
type of air mass with a more uniform afternoon high of 84-87F across
the region. Any precipitation is expected to be delayed until the
overnight hours (See next section).
&&
.LONG TERM (Thursday night through Wednesday)...
Issued at 219 PM EDT Wed Sep 11 2024
Thursday night into Friday...
Model consensus is that the remnants of Francine will stall well
southwest of central Indiana, thanks in part to an upper high across
the Great Lakes. Moisture from the remnants will work into central
Indiana mainly later Thursday night and then into Friday.
Meanwhile, surface high pressure to the northeast of the area will
continue to influence central Indiana with a dry easterly flow.
With the remnants well southwest of central Indiana, decent forcing
will be confined to the southwestern portions of the area. This
forcing and the available moisture will produce rain across the
southwest, so will go likely or higher PoPs across the southwestern
1/4 to 1/3 of the area late Thursday night into Friday.
Farther northeast, the drier easterly flow will create a sharp
cutoff to the rain, with that cutoff likely being near the I-74
corridor. Will have a sharper gradient to the PoPs to the northeast
of the likely PoPs.
Rainfall amounts through Friday could reach around an inch in the
extreme southwest part of central Indiana, with amounts quickly
tapering off to the northeast.
Rain and clouds will keep temperatures in the 70s for much of the
area Friday, with some lower 80s expected in the north and northeast.
Saturday into Sunday...
Lingering moisture from the remnants will linger into the weekend,
mainly across southern and western portions of the area. Weak upper
troughing will be near this area. Thus, wouldn't be surprised to see
some isolated to scattered showers and storms, mainly west and
south.
Will have some low PoPs in these areas, with the lowest PoPs on
Sunday as forcing continues to weaken.
Highs in the 80s will return to most areas Saturday and for all
areas on Sunday.
Monday and beyond...
Uncertainty ramps up more early next week.
First, questions remain about potential pop up convection with some
lingering moisture around Monday. Not sure if any convection will be
around though, especially with surface high pressure nudging in from
the northeast.
Next, a weakening potential tropical system will move inland from
off the East Coast Tuesday into Wednesday. Models try to have the
system survive its trek across the mountains and potentially bring
rain to central Indiana by Wednesday. Confidence is low in this
scenario at the moment.
Temperatures will remain above normal with highs in the lower to
middle 80s.
&&
.AVIATION (00Z TAF Issuance)...
Issued at 623 PM EDT Wed Sep 11 2024
Impacts:
- Gusts to near 20kts possible Thursday afternoon
Discussion:
A large area of high pressure remains draped across the region with
mainly clear skies and a continued haze from smoke in the upper
levels of the atmosphere. The high will slowly shift east into
Thursday as Francine makes landfall on the northern Gulf coast this
evening and gradually tracks north into northern Mississippi by late
day Thursday.
Deep subsidence ahead of the hurricane will overspread the area
tonight and most of Thursday and keep skies mainly clear across
central Indiana. An increase in high level clouds from the tropical
system will begin to expand into the region by later in the
afternoon into the evening. The approach of the remnants of Francine
should aid in pushing the stagnant smoke layer over the Ohio Valley
out of the area to the northwest on Thursday. Surface winds will
increase from the E/SE as the day progresses with gusts up to 20kts
at times.
&&
.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.
&&
$$
UPDATE...Ryan
SHORT TERM...Updike
LONG TERM...50
AVIATION...Ryan
Source: IND issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 11, 9:22 PM EDT--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
13752
« on: September 15, 2024, 08:16:16 AM »
PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 13, 2:06 AM CDT864
FXUS63 KPAH 130706
AFDPAH
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
206 AM CDT Fri Sep 13 2024
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Francine and her remnants may produce up to another 1-2 inches
of rainfall heading into the weekend. She's also still capable
of producing some 15-25 mph wind gusts at times.
- After Francine's departure, a drier and warmer forecast will
kick in by the middle to latter part of next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 200 AM CDT Fri Sep 13 2024
Extra-tropical rain bands are ongoing as Francine's circulation
centers over northeast Arkansas, where it wobbles and basically
stays thru the day today, before drifting southeastward as we
head into/thru the weekend. While northern reaches of the
region may only see about another 1/4" or so of rainfall,
that'll transition higher further south across the region, with
southern parts of western Ky potentially reaching up to another
2 inches. Also in play are gusty winds 15-25 mph. The
clouds/pcpn will keep increasingly humid conditions not as
unbearable as they may be otherwise, as temperatures max out
from the mid 70s to around 80 degrees.
For the new week, we see high pressure build across the Ohio
Valley, while an inverted trof of lower presure extends from the
Deep South into/across Missouri. That'll offer just enough
warmth/moisture to keep a small pop in the forecast early in the
week, which ultimately withers away by mid week as warmer/drier
air takes over. Highs return to the lower-middle 80s early in
the week and by week's end, we see a push into the upper 80s
once again.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 200 AM CDT Fri Sep 13 2024
A transition from low VFR to MFVR cigs/vsbys will occur as
Francine's rain bands spiral northward across the terminals. IFR
cigs just upstream may reach our terminals at times, esp from
KCGI-KPAH-KMVN. The wind gradient will produce 15-25 kt gusts at
times as well. Some improvement in overall conditions may be
noted during the planning phase of the forecast as Francine
begins drifting further away, but marginal restrictions may
still be offered to cigs/vsbys at times.
&&
.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.
&&
$$
Source: PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 13, 2:06 AM CDT--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
13754
« on: September 15, 2024, 08:16:16 AM »
JKL issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 12, 4:53 AM EDT570
FXUS63 KJKL 120853 CCA
AFDJKL
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Jackson KY
453 AM EDT Thu Sep 12 2024
.KEY MESSAGES...
- The potential for rain will arrive from the southwest late today
and tonight. This is due to the weakening remnants of Hurricane
Francine moving north through the Mississippi Valley.
- A possibility of rain continues through to the middle of next
week.
&&
.SHORT TERM...(Today through Friday)
Issued at 450 AM EDT THU SEP 12 2024
Aloft, the remnants Francine will lift northward into the
Mississippi Valley, reaching northeast AR & West TN by dawn on
Friday. Ridging across the Upper Ohio Valley strengthens into a
center of high pressure over the Great Lakes by Friday as well.
One of Francine's main outer band appears to lift into eastern
Kentucky tonight. This first band may be our best chance of
realizing some type of measurable rainfall across the area
through the short term. However, downsloping will eat away at
much, if not most of the moisture downwind of the spine of the
Appalachians, especially over eastern and southeastern portions
of our forecast area. It is likely that locations east of a
Jenkins to Paintsville line will receive little if any rainfall
through Friday. To paint a better picture, ensemble probabilities
of total QPF being GTE to 0.01 inches across these areas is only
around 30% or less through Friday. The probability of measurable
rain increases as one moves further west. Areas west of Highway 15
and east of the I-75 corridor have a 60-80% chance of seeing 0.01
inches, and a 30-50% chance of getting up to 0.10 inches. Further
west, locations along and west of the I-75 corridor have a 30-60%
chance of seeing up to 0.5 inches of rainfall through Friday, and
an 80% chance or higher of measuring at least 0.10 inches. Thus on
average, rainfall totals will be meager at best, with a sharp
gradient in rainfall totals as one moves from west to east.
Sensible weather features a considerable increase in mid & high
level cloudiness across the region with clouds thickening and
lowering with time from south to north over eastern KY today.
Surface winds will increase a bit from the east, becoming a little
gusty in spots across our far southwest and Bluegrass zones, as
well as our higher elevations. Models continue to back off on the
overall rainfall potential. Highest POPs through Friday occur
over our far southwest (70-80%), tapering to a slight 15-20%
chance near the WV border. The best potential for thunder will
reside along and west of the I-75 corridor where mainly elevated
CAPE climbs to between 750 and 1000 J/kg at times late tonight
into Friday. Time heights show this elevated instability best,
but meager bulk shear, less than 15 kts, and very weak mid-level
lapse rates suggest the potential for widespread thunder is quite
low.
.LONG TERM...(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 344 AM EDT THU SEP 12 2024
Active weather on tap in the extended, as the remnants of Hurricane
Francine becomes extratropical and moves through the region. A
second system, an area of low pressure that is expected to form off
the southeastern CONUS, will be our second weather maker. The models
have Francine drifting northward up the Mississippi River valley and
eventually stalling out over western Tennessee. From there, it
appears that the system will transition into a weak inverted trough
that will either stay in place and slowly dissipate, or perhaps even
drift eastward a short distance over Tennessee. In the meantime, an
area of low pressure is forecast to form along a stalled frontal
boundary just off the southeastern US coast. This features is then
expected to actually drift eastward and move inland early next week.
This system may even make if far enough west to bring more showers
and storms to our area Tuesday and Wednesday. There remains some
uncertainty as to how exactly the remnants of Francine will evolve
over the next few days, but it does look like she will bring rain to
eastern Kentucky over the upcoming weekend, before giving way to the
east coast Tuesday and Wednesday. It does still appear that the
remains of Francine will remain far enough west at first to keep the
higher rainfall totals over central and western Kentucky. Our far
southwestern counties will still most likely see the highest
rainfall totals in our area based on current model trends.
Temperatures look to trend around normal during the extended period,
with most days seeing max daytime values in the upper 70s and lower
80s, and nighttime lows in the upper 50s and lower 60s. The only
weather hazards of note will be any cloud to ground lightning that
will be possible with any thunderstorms we experience through out
the period.
&&
.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday night)
ISSUED AT 150 AM EDT THU SEP 12 2024
VFR conditions and winds less than 10 kts will hold through the
period. High ceilings, developing from south to north during the
period, is expected to mitigate even the river valley fog late
tonight for all locations but perhaps briefly in the Big Sandy
region. CIGS will lower to around 050 AGL late in the period as
shower begin to impinge on areas across our southwest (KSME &
KLOZ).
&&
.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...RAY
LONG TERM...AR
AVIATION...GREIF/RAY
Source: JKL issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 12, 4:53 AM EDT--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
13755
« on: September 15, 2024, 08:16:15 AM »
Forecast: POL active, AUR unsettled, SUB quietGeomagnetic forecast for the next 6 hours No storm watchPolar (POL): active + active intervals Auroral (AUR): unsettled + active intervals Sub-Auroral (SUB): quiet Source: Forecast: POL active, AUR unsettled, SUB quiet--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
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