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Messages - ThreatWebInternal
1
« on: Today at 09:07:02 PM »
[Delayed Report] 2 WSW Gulfport [Harrison Co, MS] Broadcast Media reports Tstm Wnd Dmg at 1 Jul, 5:30 PM CDT -- A large oak tree was downed on 15th Street near 33rd Avenue in Gulfport.051 NWUS54 KLIX 021553 LSRLIX
Preliminary Local Storm Report National Weather Service New Orleans LA 1053 AM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS..
0530 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 2 WSW Gulfport 30.37N 89.10W 07/01/2025 Harrison MS Broadcast Media
A large oak tree was downed on 15th Street near 33rd Avenue in Gulfport.
&&
$$
MEFFER
Source: [Delayed Report] 2 WSW Gulfport [Harrison Co, MS] Broadcast Media reports Tstm Wnd Dmg at 1 Jul, 5:30 PM CDT -- A large oak tree was downed on 15th Street near 33rd Avenue in Gulfport.--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
2
« on: Today at 09:07:01 PM »
MOB issues Severe Thunderstorm Warning [wind: 60 MPH (RADAR INDICATED), hail: <.75 IN (RADAR INDICATED)] for Butler, Crenshaw [AL] till 7:30 PM CDT864 WUUS54 KMOB 012341 SVRMOB ALC013-041-020030- /O.NEW.KMOB.SV.W.0146.250701T2341Z-250702T0030Z/
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Mobile AL 641 PM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025
The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Northeastern Butler County in south central Alabama... Northern Crenshaw County in south central Alabama...
* Until 730 PM CDT.
* At 641 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Strata to 3 miles south of Highland Home to 9 miles south of Logan, moving southeast at 30 mph.
HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.
* Locations impacted include... Luverne, Rutledge, Glenwood, Petrey, and Highland Home.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3159 8615 3188 8656 3196 8653 3197 8641 3205 8640 3205 8630 3197 8630 3196 8618 3189 8617 3179 8620 3179 8615 3166 8615 3166 8616 3162 8618 3162 8615 TIME...MOT...LOC 2341Z 304DEG 25KT 3203 8626 3190 8634 3186 8646
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH
$$
MM
Source: MOB issues Severe Thunderstorm Warning [wind: 60 MPH (RADAR INDICATED), hail: <.75 IN (RADAR INDICATED)] for Butler, Crenshaw [AL] till 7:30 PM CDT--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
3
« on: Today at 09:07:01 PM »
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 3, 19:29z for portions of PBZ690 WUUS01 KWNS 031930 PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0229 PM CDT THU JUL 03 2025
VALID TIME 032000Z - 041200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 49060241 49070026 49039830 48569755 47969754 47459801 46190107 45420290 44970368 44650464 44650522 45060556 45920514 46990443 48690333 49060241 &&
... HAIL ...
0.05 39507345 39657576 40117749 41087861 42467853 42657762 43097693 43357673 43897656 44447654 0.05 49829524 48889570 48229632 47569736 47069872 45890121 45320221 44640379 44520536 44850590 45410598 46690535 47950457 49470398 0.05 45768983 44648838 43308810 42508843 41898919 41419045 41519216 42489379 43799439 45229404 46229302 46439187 45768983 0.15 49309784 48889761 48409761 48049781 47609857 47129961 46180180 45120405 45220496 45990507 46730456 47700389 49440142 SIGN 47810363 48990203 49009975 48509968 47919994 47390057 46900132 46040265 45540326 45120409 45240500 46140506 47180425 47810363 &&
... WIND ...
0.05 38267407 39447768 40517982 42347902 42657756 43057696 43377670 43887656 44357653 0.05 48599194 47799284 47359337 46869327 46589275 46459185 45728975 44688838 43308811 42488844 41878918 41419042 41519215 42519380 43859443 44649529 45109616 45529742 45769888 45740100 45330192 44920253 44480331 43910477 43710552 43900595 44890624 46160537 47550480 49520408 0.15 42946978 42917059 42767105 42187137 40657114 99999999 39087360 40107587 41767650 43777474 45357349 0.15 49309629 47729697 46190115 45230313 44880395 44600493 44770552 45440532 45810516 46830449 47940357 49370152 SIGN 48300177 48780065 48779864 48259793 47609857 47060045 46550163 45830301 45850361 46100383 46560378 47090356 47900247 48300177 &&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
SLGT 39087360 40107587 41767650 43777474 45347349 99999999 42936986 42897071 42717109 42167134 40647114 SLGT 49309630 47719695 46150128 44970372 44590492 44830556 45860513 47030431 47850360 49370152 MRGL 48569194 47379329 46859325 46579259 46469185 45708972 44608831 43268810 42488845 41848920 41449043 41519215 42489379 43849439 44619529 45119624 45549768 45739892 45740106 45340196 44970250 44390350 44130420 43890488 43720554 43900604 45010636 46840533 49490408 MRGL 38267405 39447768 40517982 42377902 42657757 43097694 43397670 43817656 44287653 44347654 TSTM 29768694 30568585 31778473 33048415 33998322 34508222 34868030 35857954 37297893 38287904 38777971 39148089 39208239 39198313 39588414 40208500 40558598 40128750 39838843 39828906 39589005 39519086 39449185 39549326 39199380 38539417 37719419 37179348 36449192 35249097 33159008 30848864 30538838 29748796 99999999 41169485 43029467 44369530 44679641 44799762 44919918 45070063 43850171 40730157 39750161 38000172 37180139 36940060 37599930 37879907 38289854 38469815 38699758 39129703 39609674 39979595 41169485 99999999 48588886 47688826 46188747 44758646 44058573 43718474 43278352 42538257 42238241 99999999 31491291 32341315 33511350 34111417 34531522 34891583 35621642 36471704 36681733 36641757 36161778 35751822 36031857 36991901 37731927 38291941 38701957 39351974 40282089 40532135 40592164 40462193 40042196 39902250 40472286 41362297 42162292 42522305 43692292 44702225 44972170 45232079 45231953 45481793 46381582 47411279 48571058 48740952 48680844 48410727 48400635 48770602 49450582 TSTM 43038015 42627913 42697797 43177709 44427700
&& THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 ESE ACY 30 NNW ILG 35 SE ELM 50 SSW SLK 65 NNW BTV ...CONT... 50 ESE PSM 15 SSE PSM 25 N BOS 25 SW BOS 45 SSE BID.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NW ROX 20 SSE GFK 45 ENE Y22 45 SSW 2WX 35 ENE GCC 35 N GCC 35 NNE 4BQ 25 ESE GDV 25 S ISN 75 N MOT.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 N ELO 20 W HIB 40 SSW HIB 25 SW DLH 30 SSE DLH 15 WNW RHI 10 NW GRB 25 NNW MKE 30 ESE JVL 25 SSW RFD MLI 30 NNE OTM 20 ESE FOD 15 N FRM 10 WNW RWF 15 SSE VVV 35 E ABR 30 NW ABR 35 WNW MBG 40 SSE Y22 65 SE 2WX 35 NW RAP 55 W RAP 45 SE GCC 45 S GCC 40 SW GCC 35 ENE SHR 30 SW GDV 95 NNW ISN.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 E SBY 15 E MRB 20 E PIT 20 NE JHW 35 S ROC 35 E ROC 35 WNW SYR 30 WSW ART 30 NW ART 35 NW ART.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSE PNS 25 NNW PFN 35 WNW ABY 35 NW MCN AHN 25 S GSP 45 ESE CLT 30 SE GSO 15 E LYH SHD 10 SE EKN 30 ESE PKB 10 W UNI 50 W UNI 20 S DAY 20 E MIE 35 NW MIE 10 SE DNV 15 SSW CMI 10 W DEC 25 SW SPI 35 SSE UIN 50 NNE COU 25 SE CDJ 35 NNW SZL 35 WSW SZL 40 NNE JLN SGF 20 S UNO 45 SSW JBR 25 S GWO 25 WNW MOB 15 SW MOB 65 SSE MOB ...CONT... 40 NE SDA 25 ESE SPW 15 SW RWF 35 NE BKX 25 WSW ATY 50 SW ABR 35 SSW MBG 15 SSW PHP 15 N IML 25 N GLD 50 E LAA 25 WNW LBL 20 ESE LBL 40 ESE DDC 50 NNW P28 40 WNW HUT 30 NNW HUT 10 SSE SLN 20 W MHK 35 N MHK 20 WSW FNB 40 NE SDA ...CONT... 90 NE GNA 35 NNE CMX 25 SSE MQT 35 NNW MBL 30 ESE MBL 35 WNW MBS 25 NNE FNT 15 ESE MTC 35 SE MTC ...CONT... 100 S GBN 50 SSW GBN 60 NW GBN 45 NE BLH 40 WSW EED 55 E DAG 55 NNE DAG 60 WSW DRA 70 NNE NID 65 N NID 35 N NID 30 W NID 50 NNE BFL 40 ENE FAT 55 WNW BIH 55 SE TVL 25 ESE TVL 10 S RNO 70 E RBL 55 ENE RBL 45 NE RBL 25 NE RBL 15 ESE RBL 20 SW RBL 40 NW RBL 35 W MHS 15 S MFR 15 NW MFR 35 SSE EUG 40 ESE SLE 50 SSW DLS 35 SE DLS 45 SW PDT 45 N BKE 20 NNW P69 55 NNE 3DU 35 W HVR 15 NE HVR 60 E HVR 35 WNW GGW 15 NE GGW 45 NE GGW 95 NNE GGW.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 N ERI 30 SW BUF 35 SSW ROC 30 E ROC 55 WNW ART.
Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 3, 19:29z for portions of PBZ--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
4
« on: Today at 09:07:01 PM »
CLE issues Air Quality Alert (AQA) at Jul 4, 9:00 PM EDT ...AIR QUALITY ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR SATURDAY JULY 5...483 AEUS71 KCLE 050100 AQACLE
Air Quality Alert Message Relayed by National Weather Service Cleveland OH 900 PM EDT Fri Jul 4 2025
OHZ010>014-020>022-089-060400- Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-Medina-Summit-Portage-Ashtabula Lakeshore- Including the cities of Lorain, Elyria, North Ridgeville, Avon Lake, Cleveland, Mentor, Willoughby, Eastlake, Painesville, Willowick, Wickliffe, Chardon, South Russell, Bainbridge, Chesterland, Middlefield, Burton, Jefferson, Orwell, Andover, Roaming Shores, Brunswick, Medina, Wadsworth, Akron, Kent, Aurora, Streetsboro, Ravenna, Ashtabula, Conneaut, and Geneva 900 PM EDT Fri Jul 4 2025
...AIR QUALITY ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR SATURDAY JULY 5...
An Air Quality Advisory for ground level ozone has been issued by the Northeast Ohio Areawide Coordinating Agency for Ashtabula, Cuyahoga, Geauga, Lake, Lorain, Medina, Portage and Summit Counties.
The advisory is from midnight tonight to midnight Saturday night.
Air quality levels will be unhealthy for sensitive groups during this period. If you are in the sensitive groups category of children, the elderly and those with breathing difficulties, please monitor your outdoor activity and check air quality readings at airnow.gov. Additionally, sign-up at enviroflash.info for text alerts regarding air quality.
To help our region reduce air pollution:
* Drive less: bike, walk, use transit, work from home, combine trips * Visit gohiocommute.com/noaca - Find a smarter way to travel! * Don't idle - Turn off your engine * Refill your tank after sunset * Wait to mow the lawn
&&
The Northeast Ohio Areawide Coordinating Agency (NOACA), in partnership with the Ohio Environmental Protection Agency (Ohio EPA), the Cleveland Division of Air Quality, the Akron Regional Air Quality Management District, the Akron Metropolitan Area Transportation Study, the Lake County General Health District, and Ohio University, has forecasted this Advisory based on predicted weather patterns. Learn more at www.noaca.org.
$$
Source: CLE issues Air Quality Alert (AQA) at Jul 4, 9:00 PM EDT ...AIR QUALITY ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR SATURDAY JULY 5...--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
5
« on: Today at 09:07:00 PM »
IWX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jul 3, 2:18 PM EDT474 FXUS63 KIWX 031818 AFDIWX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Northern Indiana 218 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- A stray shower or storm possible (10-20%) into early this evening, and then again Friday afternoon into early Friday evening.
- Hot and humid Friday through this weekend.
- Better chances (30-50%) for scattered showers and storms arrive Sunday afternoon into Sunday night.
&&
.DISCUSSION... Issued at 217 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025
Convection should be very limited again late this afternoon into early this evening in the vicinity of a lake shadow/breeze given limited boundary layer moisture and warm/dry mid-levels. Attention later tonight into Friday morning will turn to how upstream convection across WI evolves on the leading edge of a building ~592 dam 500 mb ridge. This activity should struggle to survive east- southeast as it outpaces its LLJ and associated moisture transport/convergence. Whether a MCV, cloud debris, or a more robust outflow boundary folds into portions of our area on Friday remains uncertain and could hold temperatures down a bit with non-zero shower/storm chances. At this point, this kind of impact locally appears less likely (only a 10-20% PoP) with the upper ridge rather aggressive to build in with dry conditions and highs making a run at 90F likely for most locations.
Upper ridge axis will be overhead on Saturday with hot and dry conditions prevailing. This ridge breaks down into Sunday as a dampening shortwave tracks east into the Great Lakes and forces a slow moving cold front through Sunday afternoon-night. Pronounced moisture pooling per ~2" precipitable water values, and moderate boundary layer destabilization pre-frontal Sunday afternoon, while overall flow/shear through the column is weak given the shearing nature to the wave. Similar to previous events, threats appear to locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds (wet downbursts) with scattered thunderstorms during this time.
Ensembles continue to support broad upper level troughing across the Midwest and Great Lakes next week with seasonable temps. Mainly dry conditions should also win out in this regime, though did retain NBM low PoPs given the non-zero potential for mainly diurnally driven showers/storms with any weak embedded mid level impulses, and along any outflow/lake boundaries.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/... Issued at 128 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025
A weak shortwave approaches from the northwest during the afternoon and evening hours tonight and may be able to set off an few isolated showers or thunderstorms before the day is done. One fly in the ointment is that an outflow boundary from yesterday's storms appeared to settled south of US-30 and that may completely remove today's chance for a shower or storm. As such, will lean entirely dry for this forecast. As a result, aside from some patchy morning ground fog, expect VFR conditions throughout. Wind-wise, our northwest winds veer overnight to become more southwesterly on Friday with a warm front now north and east of the area.
&&
.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IN...Air Quality Alert from midnight tonight to midnight EDT Friday night for INZ020. OH...None. MI...Air Quality Alert from midnight tonight to midnight EDT Friday night for MIZ177-277. MARINE...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Steinwedel AVIATION...Roller
Source: IWX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jul 3, 2:18 PM EDT--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
6
« on: Today at 09:07:00 PM »
INDIANAPOLIS IN Jul 4 Climate Report: High: 90 Low: 69 Precip: 0.0" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"722 CDUS43 KIND 042332 CLIIND
CLIMATE REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN 732 PM EDT FRI JUL 04 2025
...................................
...THE INDIANAPOLIS IN CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR JULY 4 2025... VALID AS OF 0700 PM LOCAL TIME.
CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020 CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1871 TO 2025
WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR NORMAL ................................................................... TEMPERATURE (F) TODAY MAXIMUM 90 417 PM 103 1911 85 5 85 MINIMUM 69 550 AM 48 1968 66 3 69 AVERAGE 80 76 4 77
PRECIPITATION (IN) TODAY 0.00 2.40 1957 0.16 -0.16 0.58 MONTH TO DATE 0.11 0.64 -0.53 0.58 SINCE JUN 1 4.33 5.59 -1.26 2.74 SINCE JAN 1 22.24 23.92 -1.68 24.78
SNOWFALL (IN) TODAY 0.0 0.0 MM 0.0 0.0 0.0 MONTH TO DATE 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 SINCE JUN 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 SINCE JUL 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 SNOW DEPTH 0
...................................................................
WIND (MPH) HIGHEST WIND SPEED 12 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION SW (230) HIGHEST GUST SPEED 17 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION W (250) AVERAGE WIND SPEED 4.5
SKY COVER AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.5
WEATHER CONDITIONS THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED TODAY. NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT) HIGHEST 84 300 AM LOWEST 42 400 PM
..........................................................
THE INDIANAPOLIS IN CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW NORMAL RECORD YEAR MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 85 103 2012 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 66 49 1972
SUNRISE AND SUNSET JULY 4 2025..........SUNRISE 623 AM EDT SUNSET 916 PM EDT JULY 5 2025..........SUNRISE 623 AM EDT SUNSET 916 PM EDT
- INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS. R INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED. MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING. T INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.
$$
Source: INDIANAPOLIS IN Jul 4 Climate Report: High: 90 Low: 69 Precip: 0.0" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
7
« on: Today at 09:06:59 PM »
PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jul 4, 12:37 PM CDT844 FXUS63 KPAH 041737 AFDPAH
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Paducah KY Issued by National Weather Service Louisville KY 1237 PM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Dry for the 4th of July holiday and Saturday.
- Unsettled weather returns Sunday onward with daily rain and storm chances.
- After temperatures in the low to mid 90s this weekend, temperatures cool slightly into the upper 80s to lower 90s next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION... Issued at 219 AM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025
Upper level ridging will build across the Quad State today before shifting further east across the Ohio Valley by the weekend. Surface high pressure is moving eastward and will remain well to our east through the weekend period. The ridging aloft and at the surface will keep dry conditions in place for the 4th of July holiday and for at least the first half of the weekend. Temperatures will continue to warm over the weekend with low to mid 90's today and widespread mid 90's both Saturday and Sunday.
Ridging begins to break down as upper level troughing approaches from the northwest. A more amplified pattern will develop with ridging out west and subsequent troughing across the eastern half of the CONUS. A frontal boundary will slide eastward from the plains Sunday into early next week before stalling out. Upper troughing aloft and increasing southerly flow and moisture advection will work in tandem to result in shower and storm chances increasing Sunday into next week with peak chances occurring in the afternoon hours. Temperatures may cool off a couple of degrees next week given the expected increased coverage of showers and storms.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/... Issued at 1227 PM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025
The primary flight category through the forecast period will be VFR. FEW-SCT CU will remain through the afternoon with light southeast winds of around 5 mph. Skies will clear and winds will become calm after sunset, this may lead to another morning of patchy fog but confidence remains low.
&&
.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...AD AVIATION...WFO LMK
Source: PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jul 4, 12:37 PM CDT--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
8
« on: Today at 09:06:59 PM »
LMK issues Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWO) at Jul 5, 3:03 PM EDT477 FLUS43 KLMK 051903 HWOLMK
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Louisville KY 303 PM EDT Sat Jul 5 2025
INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067- 070>078-081-082-061915- Orange-Washington IN-Scott IN-Jefferson IN-Dubois-Crawford-Perry- Harrison IN-Floyd-Clark IN-Hancock-Breckinridge-Meade-Ohio-Grayson- Hardin-Bullitt-Jefferson-Oldham-Trimble-Henry-Shelby-Franklin- Scott KY-Harrison KY-Spencer-Anderson-Woodford-Fayette-Bourbon- Nicholas-Nelson-Washington KY-Mercer-Jessamine-Clark KY-Larue-Marion- Boyle-Garrard-Madison-Butler-Edmonson-Hart-Green-Taylor-Casey- Lincoln-Logan-Warren-Simpson-Allen-Barren-Monroe-Metcalfe-Adair- Russell-Cumberland-Clinton- 303 PM EDT Sat Jul 5 2025 /203 PM CDT Sat Jul 5 2025/
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern Indiana and central Kentucky.
.DAY ONE...Tonight.
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
Scattered afternoon thunderstorms in southern Indiana on Sunday, and area-wide Monday through Thursday, will be capable of producing lightning, and possibly localized heavy rainfall.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
More information, along with other weather, hydrological and climate information can be found, at weather.gov/louisville.
$$
RAS
Source: LMK issues Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWO) at Jul 5, 3:03 PM EDT--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
9
« on: Today at 09:06:58 PM »
JKL issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jul 4, 1:26 PM EDT239 FXUS63 KJKL 041726 AFDJKL
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Jackson KY 126 PM EDT Fri Jul 4 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Today will be hot and a little more humid. High temperatures will reach the upper 80s to low 90s.
- The weekend brings the hottest air. Expect widespread high temperatures of 90 to 95 degrees, feeling oppressive at times, with a low chance of isolated afternoon showers or thunderstorms, mainly on Sunday.
- A more active weather pattern begins Monday with the threat of daily thunderstorms, some of which could bring locally heavy rain. Though still oppressive on Monday, daily high temperatures gradually ease into the mid to upper 80s by mid- week.
&&
.UPDATE... Issued at 1045 AM EDT FRI JUL 4 2025
Just a quick refresh based on the latest observations and updating morning text and radio products to remove mention of fog. Grids have been saved and sent.
UPDATE Issued at 715 AM EDT FRI JUL 4 2025
No major changes to the grids except updating the next few hours based on current surface trends. Also, updated morning text and radio products to reflect those changes. Grids have been saved and sent.
UPDATE Issued at 1145 PM EDT THU JUL 3 2025
No significant changes were made to the forecast with mainly just the inclusion of the latest obs and trends for the T/Td/Sky grids. These minor adjustments have been sent to the NDFD and web servers along with a freshening of the zones and SAFs.
UPDATE Issued at 745 PM EDT THU JUL 3 2025
23Z sfc analysis shows high pressure in control of the weather over eastern Kentucky. This is keeping the winds light and skies mostly clear, though a few stray sprinkles are noted over western parts of the area that will fade out with sunset. Currently, temperatures are running in the upper 70s to lower 80s. Meanwhile, dewpoints are generally in the low to mid 60s. Have updated the forecast mainly to add in the latest obs and trends for the T/Td/Sky grids as well as some sprinkles in the west. These minor adjustments have been sent to the NDFD and web servers along with a freshening of the zones and SAFs.
&&
.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday night) Issued at 237 PM EDT THU JUL 3 2025
Surface high pressure continues to exert its dominance across much of the CONUS. This persistent pattern has maintained, and will continue to maintain, warm and dry conditions over the forecast area.
Today, surface high pressure will ensure warm and mostly dry weather. However, a slight increase in moisture introduces very isolated chances of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon, which are expected to dissipate around sunset. Any developing shower or storm will produce heavy rainfall, though severe weather is not anticipated. Highs today are forecast to climb into the mid to upper 80s, and with the aforementioned moisture increase, heat indices will feel two to three degrees warmer than the actual air temperature. Tonight will mirror recent evenings, with lows in the low to mid-60s accompanied by widespread river valley fog.
Independence Day will feature slightly warmer temperatures and elevated heat indices due to a further increase in atmospheric moisture. This moisture advection is a result of an upper-level trough tracking from the Great Lakes towards the Northeast, which will diminish the influence of drier northwesterly flow. Showers and thunderstorms are again possible Friday afternoon, though confidence in their exact coverage and location remains low. Any activity that does develop is expected to dissipate towards sunset. Friday night will be similar to Thursday night, with overnight lows in the mid- 60s and river valley fog.
In summary, surface high pressure keeps mostly dry weather with high temperatures climbing into the mid to upper 80s. Overnight lows will generally remain in the mid 60s, with widespread valley fog expected.
.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday) Issued at 300 PM EDT THU JUL 3 2025
Hot, humid and generally rain-free conditions over the weekend will transition to an unsettled weather pattern heading into the new work week. The analysis based on the 03/12z model suite, beginning Saturday morning, shows a 500H ridge axis stretching from northwest Mexico to the Ohio Valley. A broad associated surface high is centered near/over the Delaware River Valley. Multiple Pacific shortwaves are riding over the ridge, the first of which will be over the Upper Midwest, interacting with a much deeper upper level trough over the Hudson Bay to northwest Greenland. This supports a potent low over the Hudson Bay with a cold front extending to a weak surface low pressure wave over Minnesota. From there, the front extends westward to over Montana where a second Pacific shortwave is crossing the northern Rockies.
The ridge aloft reaches its peak strength over the Commonwealth on Saturday before partially breaking down on Sunday as the first shortwave trough settles southeast toward the Ohio Valley. The weekend days will feature the hottest air mass (850 mb temps of 20-21 Celsius) aloft while, at the same time, humidity levels rise due to the southerly return flow on the back side of the surface high. Enough height falls and moisture increase are anticipated by Sunday afternoon for isolated afternoon pop-up convection. Right now the greatest opportunity for rainfall on Sunday appears to be near/over the higher mountains adjacent to the Virginia and Tennessee borders. Rain chances become more widespread on Monday/Monday night as the first shortwave guides its associated cold front into eastern Kentucky. As the features better forcing skirts to our north on Tuesday, guidance is muddled as to how far south the boundary will actually reach before stalling. A weak wave of low pressure, forced by the second 500H shortwave trough, then rides along the stalled boundary into the Ohio Valley mid- week. The waffling frontal boundary and low pressure wave will keep diurnally-modulated convection in the forecast through the remainder of the long-term forecast period. As 850 mb temperatures ease back into the 17-18 Celsius range by mid-week, PWATS are conversely favored to rise above 1.5 inches for most of the time from Monday afternoon onward. Of particular note, the modeled combination of a very moist atmosphere, a deep warm cloud layer, skinny CAPE profiles, and generally weak steering flow will be favorable for locally heavy rainfall.
In more sensible terms, look for a quintessential Fourth of July weekend with a lot of heat and rising humidity levels -- perfect weather for the first dog days of summer. Saturday is favored to have the hottest air temperatures of the two weekend days with highs ranging from 90 to 95 degrees, but moderate humidity levels will still keep it from feeling too oppressive. Saturday night will still cool off decently into the mid 60s to near 70. Sundays air temperatures are forecast to peak about a degree cooler than Saturday but higher humidity levels will still make it feel like the middle 90s. Mostly sunny skies are likely on both days with a little more cloud cover on Sunday, when there will also be a low- end chance of a popup shower or thunderstorm. A daily scattered to numerous thunderstorm threat returns on Monday and continues through the remainder of the period. Some of the showers and thunderstorms could produce heavy rain. Under the more humid regime, daily high temperatures continue subsiding back into the mid to upper 80s by mid-week. Heat indices will follow a similar trend, after peaking in the 95 to 100 degree range for most locations on Monday afternoon.
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.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon) ISSUED AT 126 PM EDT FRI JUL 4 2025
A cumulus deck has developed across the area with this TAF issuance. This cloud deck is VFR and as a result, terminals will be VFR. Clearing is expected overnight tonight but river valley fog is forecast to develop which could cause category reduction after 08Z and through 13Z. Once fog dissipates, terminals will return to VFR. Lastly, light and variable winds are expected through the period.
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.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None.
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$$
UPDATE...VORST SHORT TERM...VORST LONG TERM...GEERTSON AVIATION...VORST
Source: JKL issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jul 4, 1:26 PM EDT--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
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« on: Today at 09:06:58 PM »
HEAT WARNING, Niagara Falls - Welland - Southern Niagara RegionIssued: 5:04 PM EDT Sunday 6 July 2025 Source: HEAT WARNING, Niagara Falls - Welland - Southern Niagara Region--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
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« on: Today at 09:06:57 PM »
HEAT WARNING, City of TorontoIssued: 5:04 PM EDT Sunday 6 July 2025 Source: HEAT WARNING, City of Toronto--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
12
« on: Today at 09:06:56 PM »
ILN issues Air Quality Alert (AQA) at Jul 3, 11:55 PM EDT ...AIR QUALITY ALERT IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY NIGHT...732 AEUS71 KILN 040355 AQAILN
Air Quality Alert Message Relayed by National Weather Service Wilmington OH 1155 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025
INZ050-058-059-066-050400- Wayne-Fayette-Union-Franklin- Including the cities of Richmond, Connersville, Liberty, West College Corner, and Brookville 1155 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025
...AIR QUALITY ALERT IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY NIGHT...
The Indiana Department of Environmental Management has declared an Air Action Day, until midnight EDT Friday night.
Fine particulate levels are expected to be in the Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups range. Active children and adults, and people with respiratory disease, such as asthma should limit prolonged outdoor exposure.
For additional actions and information, please visit the IDEM Smog page at: https://apps.idem.in.gov/smogwatch.
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INZ074-KYZ091>093-OHZ070-071-077-078-050400- Dearborn-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Butler-Warren-Hamilton-Clermont- Including the cities of Bright, Lawrenceburg, Hidden Valley, Greendale, Aurora, Dillsboro, Florence, Burlington, Oakbrook, Covington, Erlanger, Independence, Newport, Fort Thomas, Highland Heights, Bellevue, Dayton, Alexandria, Hamilton, Middletown, Fairfield, Oxford, Mason, Lebanon, Landen, Springboro, Franklin, Downtown Cincinnati, Milford, Summerside, Mount Carmel, Mount Repose, Withamsville, Mulberry, and Day Heights 1155 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025
...AIR QUALITY ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT SATURDAY NIGHT...
The Southwest Ohio Air Quality Agency has issued an Air Quality Advisory for Butler, Clermont, Hamilton and Warren counties in Ohio; Boone, Campbell and Kenton counties in Kentucky; and Dearborn County in Indiana, until midnight EDT Saturday night.
Levels of ozone within the region may approach or exceed unhealthy standards.
On Alert days, help reduce ozone by taking the following actions:
* Carpool, if possible, bike, walk or take the bus instead of driving alone. * Refuel your vehicle after 8 pm. * Do not idle your vehicle, exhaust contributes to air pollution. * Mow your lawn in the evening hours and avoid the use of gas-powered lawn equipment.
For additional information, please visit the Southwest Ohio Air Quality Agency's web site at www.southwestohioair.org/local_air_quality
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Source: ILN issues Air Quality Alert (AQA) at Jul 3, 11:55 PM EDT ...AIR QUALITY ALERT IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY NIGHT...--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
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« on: Today at 09:06:56 PM »
Ottawa flies American flag at city hall on July 4, citing protocol The City of Ottawa is still flying the Stars and Stripes on Independence Day this Friday, regardless of trade tensions between the United States and Canada. Source: Ottawa flies American flag at city hall on July 4, citing protocol----------------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
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« on: Today at 09:06:56 PM »
BOX expires Marine Warning for Boston Harbor, Coastal waters east of Ipswich Bay and the Stellwagen Bank National Marine Sanctuary, Massachusetts Bay and Ipswich Bay [AN]189 FZUS71 KBOX 031811 MWSBOX
Marine Weather Statement National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 211 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025
ANZ230-250-251-031821- /O.EXP.KBOX.MA.W.0007.000000T0000Z-250703T1815Z/ 211 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025
...THE SPECIAL MARINE WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 215 PM EDT...
The affected areas were... Boston Harbor... Coastal waters east of Ipswich Bay and the Stellwagen Bank National Marine Sanctuary... Massachusetts Bay and Ipswich Bay...
The front has weakened and no longer poses a significant threat to boaters.
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM EDT for eastern, southeastern and northeastern Massachusetts...and the adjacent coastal waters.
LAT...LON 4264 7020 4212 7028 4222 7081 4223 7083 4223 7086 4225 7099 4226 7100 4229 7102 4243 7098 4267 7066 TIME...MOT...LOC 1811Z 274DEG 38KT 4239 7037
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Hrencecin
Source: BOX expires Marine Warning for Boston Harbor, Coastal waters east of Ipswich Bay and the Stellwagen Bank National Marine Sanctuary, Massachusetts Bay and Ipswich Bay [AN]---------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
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« on: Today at 03:05:15 PM »
2 ENE Gulfport [Harrison Co, MS] Public reports Tstm Wnd Dmg at 4:59 PM CDT -- Public reported a tree down on West Pine Street.915 NWUS54 KLIX 012329 LSRLIX
Preliminary Local Storm Report National Weather Service New Orleans LA 629 PM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS..
0459 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 2 ENE Gulfport 30.40N 89.03W 07/01/2025 Harrison MS Public
Public reported a tree down on West Pine Street.
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$$
HRL
Source: 2 ENE Gulfport [Harrison Co, MS] Public reports Tstm Wnd Dmg at 4:59 PM CDT -- Public reported a tree down on West Pine Street.--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
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